atypicalset -- 亦云?

Tuesday, March 07, 2006

"Dear Amazon.com Customer," ... an acute dumb outcome of machine learning

This is not a technical note regarding machine learning.

"Dear Amazon.com Customer,"
"We've noticed that customers who have purchased Halo: Combat Evolved are also interested in The Godfather (DVD-ROM) for the Windows XP. For this reason, you might like to know that this game will be released on March 21, 2006. You can pre-order your copy by following the link below."


I am truly impressed that machines accurately capture this correlation to intuitive typical human nature. However the conclusion is wrong, as it so focuses on the data that it blatantly ignores:

1) Compared to the rest of a user's entire profile, a few entries in the transaction history can be outliers.
2) Predictions should be context-dependent, where context can change, for the good or bad.

After all, machines doesn't know all, and they aren't smart enough yet to fortune-tell on people -- it'd be boring / sad if they are.

0 Comments:

Post a Comment

<< Home